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Q&A about the Fed's 'Operation Twist'
Stock Market News | 2011/09/22 23:49

The Federal Reserve is making its third try at stimulating the economy in less than three years. Since its last attempt ended in June, the economy has been slowing. And stocks have been falling as investors feared that the country was heading for another recession.

Some questions and answers about the Fed's move:

Q. What did the Federal Reserve say it would do?

A. The Fed on Wednesday announced a new effort to drive down long-term interest rates. The plan is to sell $400 billion in Treasurys coming due in the next few years and use the cash to buy Treasurys due between six to 30 years from now. The move is designed to nudge down long-term interest rates, already at record lows, and make it even cheaper for corporations and consumers to borrow.

Fed-watchers had expected the move and had a name ready: "Operation Twist." It's a nod to economic history and Chubby Checker. In 1961, the Kennedy administration cut long-term rates while leaving short-term rates alone. They dubbed the move Operation Twist, after the dance craze.

Q. How did markets react?

A. Stock indexes took a dive. The Standard & Poor's 500 index dropped 2.9 percent, its biggest loss since Aug. 18. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 2.5 percent. Commodities from crude oil to gold and copper dropped, usually a sign traders are betting on a weaker economy.

But the Fed couldn't have asked for a better response from the bond market. Long-term interest rates hit modern-era lows. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, a benchmark for mortgages and corporate loans, sank to 1.85 percent. The 30-year Treasury dropped to 2.99 percent.

Q. Do investors think the Fed's move will help the economy?

A. Investors and market economists seem split between those who think Operation Twist will give economic growth a slight lift and those who think it will do next to nothing.

"I don't think it's going to help," said Michael Sansoterra, portfolio manager at Silvant Capital Management. "The issue is we need to spur jobs," he said. And encouraging corporations to hire workers is out of the Fed's hands.

What the country needs, many economists say, is government spending. The Fed has already tried two rounds of bond-buying. Each effort raised hopes that Fed would stimulate economic growth. Stock markets jumped in anticipation. Starting last year, the Fed bought $600 billion in Treasurys and helped launch a rally that sent stocks up 28 percent in eight months. But the economy grew a mere 0.7 percent the first half of the year.

The Fed is "running out of bullets," said Lawrence Creatura, a portfolio manager with Federated Investors. "And it's not because they haven't done a good job. But monetary policy only takes you so far. The true solutions no longer lie with the Fed. They lie with Washington."



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